Stock analysis posts tagged "interest rates" from Openbook.
Oil near 105 dollars looks like a headline shock the Fed can ignore. It is not. This is a refining shortage, and diesel is a cost of production that lands in core inflation.
The 10-year Treasury yield is back at 5.02% after the Fed's first hike since 2023. NextEra closed at USD 79.60, about 19% below its 2026 high.
UK payrolls fell 26,000 in August and Marks and Spencer rose 2.64 percent. Why the rate read behind that move is not the one the market assumed.
The AI build-out has become a macroeconomic demand shock, and it is the marginal reason the Fed is close to hiking. Investors hold AI equities as shelter from the tightening they are causing.
Housebuilding is the worst-performing FTSE 350 industry group of 2026. With a September rate cut priced out, Taylor Wimpey shows where the damage lands.
The UK energy shock is a real-income squeeze, not overheating. Because bill support is now income-tested rather than universal, CPI prints hotter while demand weakens. The Bank should hold, not hike.