Stock analysis posts tagged "treasury yields" from Openbook.

The ten-year Treasury yield has detached from the Fed policy path. Soft payrolls no longer rescue long bonds, so equity rallies built on weak growth data are borrowed.

Treasury yields reached a 24-year high this week, capping Wall Street even as Accenture and Micron beat forecasts. Our five daily notes, reviewed.

Meta's Muse AI agent drove a near-13% weekly gain and split Wall Street: chipmakers rallied while travel bookers slid. The Nasdaq added 2% as Treasury yields hit a 19-year high, then Monday gave much of it back.

A ten-year Treasury at 5.18 percent does not threaten the whole US equity market. It threatens the income half of it. The right response is to cut equity duration, not equity exposure.

Two record Nasdaq closes, then a bond market that took them both back. The week Wall Street's AI rally met a 10-year yield at its highest since 2007.

The 10-year Treasury yield is back at 5.02% after the Fed's first hike since 2023. NextEra closed at USD 79.60, about 19% below its 2026 high.

The 30-year Treasury yield is now a supply variable, not a Fed variable. A December rate hike is the thing long bond holders should worry about least. The deficit and AI debt are the real drivers.

Cooler US inflation lifted the S&P 500 to a record above 7,800 last week, but weak retail sales and a bond selloff that pushed 30-year Treasury yields to their highest since 2007 took the shine off by Monday.

Stocks and gold both rallied on the July payrolls miss, but they are pricing opposite outcomes. Gold has it right. The report said nothing about the inflation the Fed is actually fighting.