Ascent Resources plc(AST)
GBX --+0.00%
38Reward
76Risk
📊75%Data
Revenue growing 7700% YoY
AST
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
Ascent Resources plc | Energy
Capital Destroyer
Market Cap:3.45M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
38
Moderate
Bottom 5% stock
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
76
High
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 191p.

What is Ascent Resources plc?

Ascent Resources Plc engages in the onshore oil and gas and helium production and development operations in the United States and Slovenia. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Energy sector, with a market capitalisation of 3.45M.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Revenue and earnings growing steadily, indicating improving operating performance.
💰 Profitability
Thin or inconsistent margins weigh on earnings quality.
⚠️ Risk
Elevated volatility implies higher downside and expectation risk.
💸 Valuation
Valuation is less clear with a negative earnings base.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (38)

The scoring profile indicates weak reward characteristics across most factors, including valuation and momentum. Risk indicators are high — this profile reflects meaningful downside exposure.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorEnergy
Market Cap3.45M
P/E RatioN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
52 Week High1.499
52 Week Low0.255
Last AnnualDecember
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding811M
No. of Employees6
IndustryOil & Gas E&P
ExchangeLSE
Beta-0.716
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendDecelerating
  • Profitability TrendImproving
  • Balance Sheet StrengthWeak
  • Cash GenerationWeak

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Revenue remains 100.0% below the prior peak from 2011.
Profitability
  • Free cash flow has been negative for 20 consecutive years.
Balance Sheet
  • Tangible equity is negative (equity less goodwill and intangibles).
  • Interest coverage is -12.17x (below 3.0x).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is above recent norm (18.92x latest).

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2023:
  • Net Debt↑ 333.9%
  • Net Income↓ 220.3%
  • EBITDA↓ 210.4%
  • Operating Income↓ 201.0%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
-Infinity%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
-Infinity%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
582.48%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
-1.43x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
-41.87%
FCF / Market Cap

Community Discussion

4 today

Share your insights and read what others think about Ascent Resources plc

4 posts
0/500 characters
John Investor · 2 hours agoBullish
Really impressive Q3 results. Revenue growth of 15% YoY is strong given the current market conditions. The management team seems to be executing well on their strategic plan.
Sarah Chen · 5 hours agoBearish
Concerned about the increasing debt levels. While the P/E ratio looks attractive, the debt-to-equity ratio has been climbing. Would like to see more focus on deleveraging in the next few quarters.
Mike Trading · 1 day agoBullish
Been holding this for 3 years now. Solid dividend yield and consistent performance. Great for long-term investors looking for stability.
Emma Watson · 1 day agoNeutral
What are people's thoughts on the upcoming merger announcement? Could be a game changer for the industry.
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AI-powered community insights

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AI Community Insights

Analysis of the past 4 weeks

Community Summary

Community sentiment analysis...

Sentiment Analysis

Community engagement metrics

This Week

Total Posts12
Active Users8
Avg. Posts/Day2

Community Sentiment

Bullish50%
Neutral25%
Bearish25%
Key Takeaway

Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.

50.1% Insider 2.2% Institutional 47.6% Float
52%
Total Owned
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
50.1%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Very Bullish

Insiders own 50.1%, which indicates very strong alignment between management and shareholders.

2.2%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Low

Institutions own 2.2%, which suggests relatively limited professional investor coverage.

47.6%
Public

Public Float

Moderate

Public float is 47.6%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our reward rating analyses AST's potential upside using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100, then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
38
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
41/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
11.4%
Good
FCF CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
Neutral
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
Neutral
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

AST scored 41/100 for growth — blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). No analyst forward estimates available — score based on historical data only. Growth is modest — the company needs to accelerate expansion to drive higher returns.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. Relative outperformance is a stronger signal than absolute return alone.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
10/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
Sector avg 45%
No Data
Net Margin 20%
Sector avg 10%
No Data
FCF Conversion 20%
0%
FCF / Net Income
Very Bad
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
-214.2%
Very Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
-104.0%
Very Bad
🤖AI Analysis

Insufficient profitability data available. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
51/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
-4.2x
Sector avg 7x
Exceptional Value
Fwd P/E 20%
0.0x
Sector avg 12x
Very Expensive
Price/FCF 20%
No Sector Data
EV/Sales 10%
46.0x
Sector avg 1x
Very Expensive
🤖AI Analysis

AST received a valuation score of 51/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 0.0x is 100% below the sector average of 12x. EV/EBITDA of -4.2x sits 160% below the sector norm of 7x. Overall the stock trades broadly in line with sector norms.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our risk rating assesses AST's downside potential using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
76
High RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
94/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
-12.2x
Danger Zone
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
Current Ratio (20%)
0.33x
Danger Zone
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
+51%
Rapidly Deteriorating
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
-216%
Cash Burning
🤖AI Analysis

AST has a financial solvency risk score of 94/100. This signals high leverage risk. Interest coverage is -12.2x—earnings barely cover debt service. A current ratio of 0.33x means current liabilities exceed current assets, a near-term liquidity concern. Heavily leveraged companies face refinancing risk and are highly sensitive to rising rates or an earnings miss.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
95/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
FCF Margin (25%)
Cash ROA (25%)
-67.8%
Poor
Margin Stability (25%)
🤖AI Analysis

AST scores 95/100 for operational quality, indicating high operational risk. Key concerns: weak capital efficiency with -67.8% Cash ROA. These weaknesses make the business vulnerable to cost shocks or revenue shortfalls. Monitor profitability trends closely.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
25/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
-0.72
Counter-Cyclical
🤖AI Analysis

AST has a volatility risk score of 25/100. This shows low volatility with relatively stable prices. Beta of -0.72 indicates defensive characteristics — it moves less than the market. Lower volatility is well-suited to conservative investors and income-focused portfolios.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
80/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.0B
Neutral
Size Category
Nano Cap
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

AST has a market cap of £0.0B (Nano Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 80/100. As a smaller company, it faces elevated existential risk. Small and micro-caps have higher failure rates, less diversified revenue, and greater vulnerability to competitive threats or economic shocks. They often lack scale advantages and may struggle to access capital markets during stress. While these companies offer growth potential, investors must accept that a meaningful percentage could fail or suffer permanent capital loss. Diversification is critical when investing at this size.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking estimates from the analyst community for AST.

Street ViewBalanced
Balanced setup with +7700.0% revenue growth and +0.0% EPS growth.
forecast ranges show tight ranges, 30-day EPS revisions are flat.
Consensus
+7700.0% revenue growth
Consensus target of 190.90p
Confidence
Limited visibility
tight ranges
Watch Item
Execution needs to hold
Strong growth expectations leave less room for disappointment if execution slows.
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Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +7700.0% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Openbook AI
Revenue is projected to move from — last year to — in 2019E and — in 2020E. The 2020E range of — to — suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. For you, this matters because top-line misses usually flow straight through to EPS cuts and weaker price-path outcomes.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +0.0% YoY growth tight ranges on EPS estimates

Openbook AI
Analysts are currently looking for 0.00p in 2019E and 0.00p in 2020E. The outer-year range runs from 0.00p to 0.00p, which counts as tight ranges. For you, that means the market is still underwriting +0.0% EPS growth over the next leg of the story.