Auction Technology Group PLC(ATG)
GBX --+0.00%
Reward50Moderate
Risk58Medium-High
📊75%Data
Thin -76% profit margin · Revenue growing 15% YoY
ATG
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
Auction Technology Group PLC | Technology
Value Trap
Market Cap:422.84M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
50
Moderate
Bottom 50% (model universe)
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
58
Medium-High
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 513p.

What is Auction Technology Group PLC?

Auction Technology Group plc operates online auction marketplaces in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Germany.

ATG · Verdict

Moderate reward · elevated risk

ATG stands out on valuation and volatility, but watch the balance sheet signal.

Based on 88% data coverage

ATG · Verdict

What’s working & what to watch

Strengths 2

  • Valuation78/100

    P/E 12.4× · PEG 0.00

  • Volatility65/100

    Above average

Watchouts 3

  • Balance sheet28/100

    Interest covered 2.4×

  • Profitability37/100

    -58% net margin · -24% ROE

  • Cash flow41/100

    21% free-cash-flow margin

Model-based scoring. For information only — not financial advice.

What is Auction Technology Group PLC?

Auction Technology Group plc operates online auction marketplaces in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Germany. The company operates through, Arts and Antiques and Industrial and Commercial segments. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Technology sector, with a market capitalisation of 422.84M.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Revenue and earnings growing steadily, indicating improving operating performance.
💰 Profitability
Thin or inconsistent margins weigh on earnings quality.
⚠️ Risk
Moderate volatility with meaningful macro and earnings sensitivity.
💸 Valuation
Valuation is less clear with a negative earnings base.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (50)

The scoring profile indicates limited reward potential at this time, with valuation and momentum offering the most support. Risk indicators are elevated — volatility and macro sensitivity warrant consideration.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorTechnology
Market Cap422.84M
P/E RatioN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
52 Week High622.301
52 Week Low259.5
Last AnnualSeptember
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding121M
No. of Employees391
IndustrySoftware - Application
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.736
CurrencyGBX

Chart Tools

Sign in to overlay your portfolio on the chart.

Sign in
Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendAccelerating
  • Profitability TrendDeteriorating
  • Balance Sheet StrengthModerate
  • Cash GenerationStrong

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Gross margin has compressed for 2 consecutive years (45.5% latest).
Balance Sheet
  • Tangible equity is negative (equity less goodwill and intangibles).
  • Goodwill and intangibles are 140.0% of equity.
  • Goodwill is 61.7% of total assets.
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Net Income↓ 1161.2%
  • Net Debt↑ 103.9%
  • Revenue↑ 46.0%
  • EBITDA↑ 16.0%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
-58.24%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
10.79%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
-28.31%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
0.46x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
9.30%
FCF / Market Cap
Key Takeaway

Highly concentrated ownership with exceptional insider alignment and strong institutional confidence.

32.8% Insider 80.0% Institutional -12.7% Float
113%
Total Owned
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
32.8%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Very Bullish

Insiders own 32.8%, which indicates very strong alignment between management and shareholders.

80.0%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Strong

Institutions own 80.0%, indicating strong support from professional investors.

0.0%
Public

Public Float

Very Low

Public float is only 0.0%, which indicates very tight ownership and limited trading liquidity.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our Reward Rating provides a model-based reward profile for ATG using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 and combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
50
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
47/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
FCF CAGR (3yr)
4.0%
Neutral
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
6.4%
Good
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
19.8%
Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

ATG scored 47/100 for growth, blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Forward: analysts forecast 6.4% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 19.8%. Overall, growth appears mixed and should be monitored with risk factors. Forecasts and analyst targets are estimates and may be inaccurate.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. This provides context for recent price movement across different market conditions.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
37/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
45.5%
Sector avg 45%
In Line
Net Margin 20%
-58.2%
Sector avg 10%
Loss Making
FCF Conversion 20%
>200%
FCF / Net Income
Very Good
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
-24.0%
Very Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
2.1%
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

ATG scores 37/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 45.5% is 1% above the sector average of 45% — broadly in line with peers. The company is currently loss-making with a net margin of -58.2%. FCF conversion of >200% indicates reported profits are strongly supported by cash flow. Overall, profitability metrics are weaker across multiple model inputs. Profitability trends can change and should be reviewed alongside balance-sheet risk.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
78/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
7.4x
Sector avg 20x
Higher Relative Value
Fwd P/E 20%
12.4x
Sector avg 28x
Higher Relative Value
Price/FCF 20%
10.8x
Above-Average Relative Value
EV/Sales 10%
4.0x
Sector avg 5x
Above-Average Relative Value
Net Debt/EBITDA Adj
3.3x
Stretched
🤖Model Commentary

ATG received a valuation score of 78/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 12.4x is 56% below the sector average of 28x. EV/EBITDA of 7.4x sits 63% below the sector norm of 20x. Price/FCF of 10.8x is low on this model's cash-yield lens. Leverage is stretched at 3.3x Net Debt/EBITDA — this has applied a penalty to the valuation score. Overall, valuation multiples are lower than selected sector peers on this model. Valuation metrics are not forecasts of future returns.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our Risk Rating provides a model-based risk profile for ATG using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
58
Medium-High RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
72/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
2.4x
Elevated Risk Band
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
3.3x
Elevated
Current Ratio (20%)
0.66x
Highest Risk Band
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
+37%
Rapidly Deteriorating
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
22%
Moderate Risk Band
🤖Model Commentary

ATG has a financial solvency risk score of 72/100. This indicates elevated leverage risk in this model. Interest coverage is 2.4x—earnings barely cover debt service. Net debt is 3.3x EBITDA, well above the 3x warning threshold. A current ratio of 0.66x means current liabilities exceed current assets, a near-term liquidity concern. Heavily leveraged companies can face refinancing pressure and increased sensitivity to rate changes or earnings weakness.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
59/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
-58.2%
Higher Distress Risk
FCF Margin (25%)
20.7%
Lower Risk Band
Cash ROA (25%)
6.8%
Adequate
Margin Stability (25%)
±29.3pp
Very Unstable
🤖Model Commentary

ATG scores 59/100 for operational quality, indicating elevated operational risk. The company shows healthy free cash flow at 20.7% FCF margin, adequate capital efficiency with 6.8% Cash ROA. Key concerns: a negative net margin of -58.2% — the company is loss-making; significant margin instability of ±29.3pp over 3 years — the primary risk driver here. Overall the business appears viable but not without risk. Margin trends should be monitored over time.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
35/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.74
Mildly Defensive
🤖Model Commentary

ATG has a volatility risk score of 35/100. This shows lower volatility with relatively stable prices in the measured period. Beta of 0.74 indicates defensive characteristics — it moves less than the market. Lower volatility may be more compatible with conservative risk budgets, depending on portfolio context.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
65/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.4B
Neutral
Size Category
Micro Cap
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

ATG has a market cap of £0.4B (Micro Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 65/100. As a smaller company, it faces elevated business and funding risk. Small and micro-caps have higher failure rates, less diversified revenue, and greater vulnerability to competitive threats or economic shocks. They often lack scale advantages and may struggle to access capital markets during stress. Smaller companies can experience higher dispersion of outcomes, including business failure or sustained capital impairment. Diversification is important when investing at this size.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking analyst estimates for ATG. Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.

Revenue+6.4% growth
Based on 7 analysts
EPS+19.9% growth
EPS revisions trending up over the past 30 days
Forecast ToneBalanced·Medium agreement
Balanced consensus profile with +6.4% revenue growth and +19.9% EPS growth.
Confidence is medium agreement, coverage sits at 7 analysts, forecast ranges show tight ranges, 30-day EPS revisions are improving.
Consensus
+6.4% revenue growth
Consensus target of 512.57p
Confidence
Medium agreement
Based on 7 analysts with tight ranges
Watch Item
Execution needs to hold
Strong growth expectations leave less room for disappointment if execution slows.

Share Price Forecast

Zoom
Loading chart...
Model Commentary
That view is based on 7 analysts. Medium agreement means the Street is directionally aligned but still leaving room for debate. Analyst targets and forecasts can change quickly after new company or market information.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +6.4% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Model Commentary
Revenue is projected to move from 190.2M last year to 242.7M in 2026E and 258.2M in 2027E. That implies +27.6% into 2026E and +6.4% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 252.7M to 268.2M suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. Revenue misses can lead to EPS estimate revisions and changes in valuation assumptions. Forecast ranges reflect uncertainty and should be read alongside risk metrics.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +19.9% YoY growth tight ranges on EPS estimates

Model Commentary
Analysts are currently looking for 38.75p in 2026E and 46.44p in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from 44.80p to 50.24p, which counts as tight ranges. Consensus currently models +19.9% EPS growth over the next period. EPS estimates are subject to revision and do not guarantee future results.