GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited(GCP)
GBX --+0.00%
Reward58Moderate
Risk37Moderate
📊75%Data
Strong 54% profit margin · 9.2% dividend yield · Revenue growing 37% YoY
GCP
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited | Financial Services
Dividend King
Market Cap:633.58M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
58
Moderate
Top 50% (model universe)
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
37
Moderate
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 83p.

What is GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited?

GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited focuses on investing in the United Kingdom infrastructure debt.

GCP · Verdict

Solid reward · moderate risk

GCP stands out on profitability and valuation, but watch the growth signal.

Based on 88% data coverage

GCP · Verdict

What’s working & what to watch

Strengths 4

  • Profitability81/100

    72% net margin · 2% ROE

  • Valuation81/100

    P/E 11.6× · PEG 0.00

  • Volatility80/100

    Top decile vs peers

  • Cash flow75/100

    483% free-cash-flow margin

Watchouts 2

  • Growth42/100

    Rev -44.4% CAGR · earnings -49.2%

  • Balance sheet43/100

    Net debt/EBITDA 1.1×

Model-based scoring. For information only — not financial advice.

What is GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited?

GCP Infrastructure Investments Limited focuses on investing in the United Kingdom infrastructure debt. The company makes infrastructure investments through acquiring interests in debt instruments issued by infrastructure project companies. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Financial Services sector, with a market capitalisation of 633.58M, and a P/E ratio of 38.0x.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Revenue and earnings growing steadily, indicating improving operating performance.
💰 Profitability
Strong margins and consistent earnings support financial stability.
⚠️ Risk
Risk profile appears balanced versus broad market conditions.
💸 Valuation
Premium valuation reflects strong growth expectations already priced in.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (58)

The scoring profile indicates moderate reward potential, with profitability and valuation as the leading contributors. Risk indicators are moderate, consistent with typical market exposure.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorFinancial Services
Market Cap633.58M
P/E Ratio38
Dividend Yield9.17%
52 Week High77.4824
52 Week Low59.9795
Last AnnualSeptember
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding834M
No. of EmployeesN/A
IndustryAsset Management
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.365
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendAccelerating
  • Profitability TrendDeteriorating
  • Balance Sheet StrengthStrong
  • Cash GenerationStrong

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Revenue remains 82.8% below the prior peak from 2022.
  • Revenue volatility is elevated versus recent history (80.2% coefficient of variation).
Profitability
  • Operating margin is 29.1pp below its recent average.
Balance Sheet
  • Interest coverage is 0.00x (below 3.0x).
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Net Debt↓ 56.2%
  • Operating Income↓ 32.0%
  • EBITDA↓ 32.0%
  • Net Income↓ 16.3%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
71.70%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
71.70%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
2.16%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
0.02x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
19.53%
FCF / Market Cap
Key Takeaway

Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.

3.6% Insider 56.2% Institutional 40.2% Float
60%
Total Owned
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
3.6%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Bearish

Insiders own 3.6%, which points to limited direct management ownership.

56.2%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Moderate

Institutions own 56.2%, which suggests a balanced ownership mix.

40.2%
Public

Public Float

Moderate

Public float is 40.2%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our Reward Rating provides a model-based reward profile for GCP using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 and combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
58
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
42/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
-44.4%
Very Bad
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
-49.2%
Very Bad
FCF CAGR (3yr)
-3.5%
Bad
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
49.0%
Very Good
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
20.8%
Very Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

GCP scored 42/100 for growth, blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue has been declining (-44.4% CAGR), a headwind. Net income contracted at -49.2%, suggesting cost or margin pressure. FCF declining at -3.5% is worth monitoring. Forward: analysts forecast 49.0% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 20.8%. Overall, growth appears mixed and should be monitored with risk factors. Forecasts and analyst targets are estimates and may be inaccurate.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. This provides context for recent price movement across different market conditions.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
81/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
83.5%
Sector avg 45%
Higher Relative
Net Margin 20%
71.7%
Sector avg 10%
Higher Relative
FCF Conversion 20%
674%
FCF / Net Income
Very Good
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
2.1%
Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
1.5%
Bad
🤖Model Commentary

GCP scores 81/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 83.5% is 85% above the sector average of 45% — indicating margins are materially above peers. Net margin of 71.7% sits 617% above the sector norm of 10%. FCF conversion of 674% indicates reported profits are strongly supported by cash flow. Overall, profitability metrics are strong relative to this model's thresholds. Profitability trends can change and should be reviewed alongside balance-sheet risk.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
81/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
0.0x
Sector avg 12x
Higher Relative Value
Fwd P/E 20%
11.6x
Sector avg 18x
Above-Average Relative Value
Price/FCF 20%
5.1x
Higher Relative Value
EV/Sales 10%
30.6x
Sector avg 2x
Material Premium vs Peers
Net Debt/EBITDA Adj
1.1x
Low Leverage
🤖Model Commentary

GCP received a valuation score of 81/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 11.6x is 36% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 0.0x sits 100% below the sector norm of 12x. Price/FCF of 5.1x is low on this model's cash-yield lens. Leverage is low at 1.1x Net Debt/EBITDA. Overall, valuation multiples are lower than selected sector peers on this model. Valuation metrics are not forecasts of future returns.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our Risk Rating provides a model-based risk profile for GCP using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
37
Moderate RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
57/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
0.0x
Highest Risk Band
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
1.1x
Conservative
Current Ratio (20%)
0.09x
Highest Risk Band
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
Stable
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
641%
Lower Risk Band
🤖Model Commentary

GCP has a financial solvency risk score of 57/100. This represents moderate leverage that warrants monitoring. Interest coverage of 0.0x is adequate but not comfortable. Net debt/EBITDA of 1.1x is within the manageable range. The balance sheet appears manageable in normal conditions but could face stress in a downturn. Coverage ratios and free cash flow trends remain important.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
25/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
71.7%
Lower Risk Band
FCF Margin (25%)
483.3%
Lower Risk Band
Cash ROA (25%)
5.7%
Adequate
Margin Stability (25%)
±8.5pp
Moderate Variance
🤖Model Commentary

GCP scores 25/100 for operational quality, indicating low operational risk. The company shows a high net margin of 71.7%, healthy free cash flow at 483.3% FCF margin, adequate capital efficiency with 5.7% Cash ROA. Key concerns: moderate margin variance of ±8.5pp over 3 years. This combination of margins, cash generation, and capital efficiency indicates a comparatively resilient business model in this period. These metrics are model outputs and not personal investment advice.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
20/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.36
Defensive
🤖Model Commentary

GCP has a volatility risk score of 20/100. This shows lower volatility with relatively stable prices in the measured period. Beta of 0.36 indicates defensive characteristics — it moves less than the market. Lower volatility may be more compatible with conservative risk budgets, depending on portfolio context.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
50/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.6B
Neutral
Size Category
Small Cap
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

GCP has a market cap of £0.6B (Small Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 50/100. As a mid-cap company, it faces moderate size-related risk. Mid-caps are typically past the highest-risk startup phase but don't yet have the scale and diversification of large-caps. They can still face challenges from larger competitors and economic cycles, but have established operations and some market presence. Size risk is present but manageable with proper diversification.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking analyst estimates for GCP. Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.

Revenue-10.7% growth
Based on 1 analyst
EPS+20.8% growth
EPS revisions slipping over the past 30 days
Forecast ToneCautious·Low agreement
Cautious consensus profile with -10.7% revenue growth and +20.8% EPS growth.
Confidence is low agreement, coverage sits at 2 analysts, forecast ranges show moderate dispersion, 30-day EPS revisions are softening.
Consensus
-10.7% revenue growth
Consensus target of 82.50p
Confidence
Low agreement
Based on 2 analysts with moderate dispersion
Watch Item
Low analyst coverage
A small analyst base can move the consensus quickly after any new update.

Share Price Forecast

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Model Commentary
That view is based on 2 analysts. Low agreement means the Street is still split on the likely outcome. Analyst targets and forecasts can change quickly after new company or market information.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies -10.7% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Model Commentary
Revenue is projected to move from 25.6M last year to 84.0M in 2026E and 75.0M in 2027E. That implies +228.1% into 2026E and -10.7% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 75.0M to 75.0M suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. Revenue misses can lead to EPS estimate revisions and changes in valuation assumptions. Forecast ranges reflect uncertainty and should be read alongside risk metrics.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +20.8% YoY growth moderate dispersion on EPS estimates

Model Commentary
Analysts are currently looking for 6.00p in 2026E and 7.25p in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from 6.60p to 7.90p, which counts as moderate dispersion. Consensus currently models +20.8% EPS growth over the next period. EPS estimates are subject to revision and do not guarantee future results.