Invinity Energy Systems PLC(IES)
GBX --+0.00%
51Reward
57Risk
📊75%Data
Revenue down 84% YoY
IES
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
Invinity Energy Systems PLC | Industrials
Profitless Growth
Market Cap:106.64M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
51
Moderate
Bottom 50% stock
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
57
Medium-High
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 62p.

What is Invinity Energy Systems PLC?

Invinity Energy Systems plc manufactures and sells vanadium flow batteries and related hardware for energy storage markets in Asia, Australia, Europe, and North America. The company sells its products under the Invinity ENDURIUM and Invinity VS3 brands. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Industrials sector, with a market capitalisation of 106.64M.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Revenue and earnings growing steadily, indicating improving operating performance.
💰 Profitability
Thin or inconsistent margins weigh on earnings quality.
⚠️ Risk
Performance tied to macro conditions — sensitive to interest rate cycles.
💸 Valuation
Valuation is less clear with a negative earnings base.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (51)

The scoring profile indicates limited reward potential at this time, with growth and momentum offering the most support. Risk indicators are elevated — volatility and macro sensitivity warrant consideration.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap106.64M
P/E RatioN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
52 Week High29
52 Week Low7.76
Last AnnualDecember
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding569M
No. of Employees145
IndustryElectrical Equipment & Parts
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.859
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendDecelerating
  • Profitability TrendImproving
  • Balance Sheet StrengthStrong
  • Cash GenerationWeak

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Gross margin has compressed for 2 consecutive years (-70.0% latest).
Profitability
  • Free cash flow has been negative for 10 consecutive years.
  • Free cash flow margin was below 0% in 5 of the last 5 years.
Balance Sheet
  • Interest coverage is -216.11x (below 3.0x).
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2023:
  • Net Debt↓ 786.6%
  • Revenue↓ 77.2%
  • Free Cash Flow↓ 28.4%
  • Operating Income↓ 5.6%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
-454.58%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
-479.70%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
-34.72%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
-0.47x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
-24.56%
FCF / Market Cap

Community Discussion

4 today

Share your insights and read what others think about Invinity Energy Systems PLC

4 posts
0/500 characters
John Investor · 2 hours agoBullish
Really impressive Q3 results. Revenue growth of 15% YoY is strong given the current market conditions. The management team seems to be executing well on their strategic plan.
Sarah Chen · 5 hours agoBearish
Concerned about the increasing debt levels. While the P/E ratio looks attractive, the debt-to-equity ratio has been climbing. Would like to see more focus on deleveraging in the next few quarters.
Mike Trading · 1 day agoBullish
Been holding this for 3 years now. Solid dividend yield and consistent performance. Great for long-term investors looking for stability.
Emma Watson · 1 day agoNeutral
What are people's thoughts on the upcoming merger announcement? Could be a game changer for the industry.
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AI Community Insights

Analysis of the past 4 weeks

Community Summary

Community sentiment analysis...

Sentiment Analysis

Community engagement metrics

This Week

Total Posts12
Active Users8
Avg. Posts/Day2

Community Sentiment

Bullish50%
Neutral25%
Bearish25%
Ownership Analysis
Key Takeaway

Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.

29.2% Insider 24.7% Institutional 46.1% Float
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
54%
Total Owned
29.2%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Very Bullish

Insiders own 29.2%, which indicates very strong alignment between management and shareholders.

24.7%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Low

Institutions own 24.7%, which suggests relatively limited professional investor coverage.

46.1%
Public

Public Float

Moderate

Public float is 46.1%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our reward rating analyses IES's potential upside using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100, then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
51
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
75/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
16.3%
Good
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
2.7%
Neutral
FCF CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
172.7%
Very Good
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
43.7%
Very Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

IES scored 75/100 for growth — blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue CAGR of 16.3% is strong. Forward: analysts forecast 172.7% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 43.7%. Overall this is a compelling growth profile that justifies attention from growth-oriented investors.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. Relative outperformance is a stronger signal than absolute return alone.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
9/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
-70.0%
Sector avg 45%
Weak
Net Margin 20%
-454.6%
Sector avg 10%
Loss Making
FCF Conversion 20%
0%
FCF / Net Income
Very Bad
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
-32.5%
Very Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
-18.5%
Very Bad
🤖AI Analysis

IES scores 9/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of -70.0% is 256% below the sector average of 45% — suggesting below-average pricing power or higher input costs vs peers. The company is currently loss-making with a net margin of -454.6%. FCF conversion of 0% is low — reported earnings may overstate true cash generation. Weak profitability across multiple metrics is a clear area of concern for investors.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
41/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
-2.5x
Sector avg 12x
Exceptional Value
Fwd P/E 20%⚠️
0.0x
Sector avg 18x
Very Expensive
Price/FCF 20%
No Sector Data
EV/Sales 10%
25.1x
Sector avg 1.5x
Very Expensive
🤖AI Analysis

IES received a valuation score of 41/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 0.0x is 100% below the sector average of 18x. ⚠️ Earnings quality is flagged — accruals are elevated (ratio 0.68), suggesting reported earnings may overstate cash generation. EV/EBITDA of -2.5x sits 120% below the sector norm of 12x. Overall the stock trades at a premium to sector peers, leaving limited margin of safety.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our risk rating assesses IES's downside potential using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
57
Medium-High RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
27/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
-216.1x
Danger Zone
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
Net Cash
Net Cash
Current Ratio (20%)
6.70x
Very Strong
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
-20%
Improving
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
Net Cash
No Debt
🤖AI Analysis

IES has a financial solvency risk score of 27/100. This shows low leverage risk and a healthy balance sheet. Interest coverage of -216.1x means earnings comfortably exceed debt service. Current ratio of 6.70x confirms strong short-term liquidity. The company has flexibility to invest, return capital, or absorb unexpected shocks.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
94/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
-454.6%
High Distress Risk
FCF Margin (25%)
-522.3%
Cash Burning
Cash ROA (25%)
-32.9%
Poor
Margin Stability (25%)
±2214.9pp
Highly Erratic
🤖AI Analysis

IES scores 94/100 for operational quality, indicating high operational risk. Key concerns: a negative net margin of -454.6% — the company is loss-making; negative FCF (-522.3% FCF margin) — the business is cash burning; weak capital efficiency with -32.9% Cash ROA; significant margin instability of ±2214.9pp over 3 years — the primary risk driver here. These weaknesses make the business vulnerable to cost shocks or revenue shortfalls. Monitor profitability trends closely.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
50/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.86
Market-Like
🤖AI Analysis

IES has a volatility risk score of 50/100. This represents moderate-to-elevated volatility — above average but manageable. Investors should expect periodic double-digit declines but can ride them out with patience.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
65/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.1B
Neutral
Size Category
Micro Cap
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

IES has a market cap of £0.1B (Micro Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 65/100. As a smaller company, it faces elevated existential risk. Small and micro-caps have higher failure rates, less diversified revenue, and greater vulnerability to competitive threats or economic shocks. They often lack scale advantages and may struggle to access capital markets during stress. While these companies offer growth potential, investors must accept that a meaningful percentage could fail or suffer permanent capital loss. Diversification is critical when investing at this size.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking estimates from the analyst community for IES.

Street ViewBalanced·Low agreement
Balanced setup with +185.8% revenue growth and +43.9% EPS growth.
Confidence is low agreement, coverage sits at 3 analysts, forecast ranges show tight ranges, 30-day EPS revisions are flat.
Consensus
+185.8% revenue growth
Consensus target of 61.50p
Confidence
Low agreement
Based on 3 analysts with tight ranges
Watch Item
Low analyst coverage
A small analyst base can move the consensus quickly after any new update.
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Openbook AI
That view is based on 3 analysts. Low agreement means the Street is still split on the likely outcome.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +185.8% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Openbook AI
Revenue is projected to move from 5.0M last year to 17.1M in 2025E and 49.0M in 2026E. That implies +241.6% into 2025E and +185.9% into 2026E on the top line. The 2026E range of 47.0M to 51.3M suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. For you, this matters because top-line misses usually flow straight through to EPS cuts and weaker price-path outcomes.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +43.9% YoY growth tight ranges on EPS estimates

Openbook AI
Analysts are currently looking for -4.39p in 2025E and -2.47p in 2026E. The outer-year range runs from -2.53p to -2.40p, which counts as tight ranges. For you, that means the market is still underwriting +43.9% EPS growth over the next leg of the story.