IG Design Group plc(IGR)
GBX --+0.00%
Reward37Moderate
Risk46Moderate
📊75%Data
Thin -35% profit margin · Revenue down 13% YoY
IGR
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
IG Design Group plc | Consumer Cyclical
Earnings Deterioration
Market Cap:55.76M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
37
Moderate
Bottom 5% (model universe)
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
46
Moderate
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 99p.

What is IG Design Group plc?

IG Design Group plc engages in the design, production, and distribution of gift packaging, arty, goods not for resale, craft, stationery, and homeware consumable products in the Americas, the United Kingdom, Netherlands, and internationally.

IGR · Verdict

Limited reward · moderate risk

IGR stands out on volatility and balance sheet, but watch the profitability signal.

Based on 88% data coverage

IGR · Verdict

What’s working & what to watch

Strengths 2

  • Volatility80/100

    Top decile vs peers

  • Balance sheet73/100

    Current ratio 2.05

Watchouts 3

  • Profitability9/100

    -14% net margin · -39% ROE

  • Cash flow22/100

    -0% free-cash-flow margin

  • Growth35/100

    Rev -8.9% CAGR · earnings +212.2%

Model-based scoring. For information only — not financial advice.

What is IG Design Group plc?

IG Design Group plc engages in the design, production, and distribution of gift packaging, arty, goods not for resale, craft, stationery, and homeware consumable products in the Americas, the United Kingdom, Netherlands, and internationally. It operates through two segments, The DG Americas and The DG International. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, with a market capitalisation of 55.76M.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Revenue growth is subdued, limiting near-term earnings expansion.
💰 Profitability
Thin or inconsistent margins weigh on earnings quality.
⚠️ Risk
Risk profile appears balanced versus broad market conditions.
💸 Valuation
Valuation is less clear with a negative earnings base.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (37)

The scoring profile indicates weak reward characteristics across most factors, including valuation and momentum. Risk indicators are moderate, consistent with typical market exposure.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Market Cap55.76M
P/E RatioN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
52 Week High96
52 Week Low44
Last AnnualMarch
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding95M
No. of Employees730
IndustrySpecialty Retail
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.41
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendStable
  • Profitability TrendDeteriorating
  • Balance Sheet StrengthStrong
  • Cash GenerationModerate

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years.
Profitability
  • Operating margin is 8.7pp below its recent average.
  • Operating margin is below the prior 5-year floor by 6.0pp.
Balance Sheet
  • Interest coverage is -11.81x (below 3.0x).
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Net Income↓ 367.5%
  • Operating Income↓ 284.8%
  • EBITDA↓ 137.9%
  • Free Cash Flow↓ 104.4%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
-13.67%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
-7.35%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
-37.92%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
-0.04x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
-5.24%
FCF / Market Cap
Key Takeaway

Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.

27.5% Insider 38.9% Institutional 33.6% Float
66%
Total Owned
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
27.5%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Very Bullish

Insiders own 27.5%, which indicates very strong alignment between management and shareholders.

38.9%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Low

Institutions own 38.9%, which suggests relatively limited professional investor coverage.

33.6%
Public

Public Float

Low

Public float is 33.6%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our Reward Rating provides a model-based reward profile for IGR using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 and combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
37
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
35/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
-8.9%
Bad
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
212.2%
Very Good
FCF CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
16.1%
Very Good
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
-21.6%
Very Bad
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

IGR scored 35/100 for growth, blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue has been declining (-8.9% CAGR), a headwind. Net income expanded at 212.2%, indicating material earnings growth. Forward: analysts forecast 16.1% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to fall -21.6%. Overall, growth signals are weaker across available historical and forward metrics. Forecasts and analyst targets are estimates and may be inaccurate.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. This provides context for recent price movement across different market conditions.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
9/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
13.8%
Sector avg 45%
Weak
Net Margin 20%
-13.7%
Sector avg 10%
Loss Making
FCF Conversion 20%
0%
FCF / Net Income
Very Bad
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
-39.0%
Very Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
-0.3%
Very Bad
🤖Model Commentary

IGR scores 9/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 13.8% is 69% below the sector average of 45% — suggesting below-average pricing power or higher input costs vs peers. The company is currently loss-making with a net margin of -13.7%. FCF conversion of 0% is low — reported earnings may overstate true cash generation. Overall, profitability metrics are weaker across multiple model inputs. Profitability trends can change and should be reviewed alongside balance-sheet risk.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
57/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
15.9x
Sector avg 12x
Higher Premium vs Peers
Fwd P/E 20%
16.1x
Sector avg 18x
Moderate Relative Value
Price/FCF 20%
No Sector Data
EV/Sales 10%
0.2x
Sector avg 2x
Higher Relative Value
🤖Model Commentary

IGR received a valuation score of 57/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 16.1x is 11% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 15.9x sits 33% above the sector norm of 12x. Overall, valuation multiples are broadly in line with selected sector references. Valuation metrics are not forecasts of future returns.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our Risk Rating provides a model-based risk profile for IGR using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
46
Moderate RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
27/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
-11.8x
Highest Risk Band
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
Net Cash
Net Cash
Current Ratio (20%)
2.05x
Low Risk Band
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
-117%
Rapidly Improving
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
Net Cash
No Debt
🤖Model Commentary

IGR has a financial solvency risk score of 27/100. This shows lower leverage risk and a relatively healthy balance sheet. Interest coverage of -11.8x means earnings comfortably exceed debt service. Current ratio of 2.05x confirms strong short-term liquidity. The company appears to have flexibility to invest, return capital, or absorb unexpected shocks.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
78/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
-13.7%
Higher Distress Risk
FCF Margin (25%)
-0.4%
Higher Distress Risk
Cash ROA (25%)
0.7%
Very Weak
Margin Stability (25%)
±6.2pp
Moderate Variance
🤖Model Commentary

IGR scores 78/100 for operational quality, indicating high operational risk. Key concerns: a negative net margin of -13.7% — the company is loss-making; negative FCF (-0.4% FCF margin) — the business is cash burning; weak capital efficiency with 0.7% Cash ROA; moderate margin variance of ±6.2pp over 3 years. These weaknesses make the business vulnerable to cost shocks or revenue shortfalls. Monitor profitability trends closely.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
20/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.41
Defensive
🤖Model Commentary

IGR has a volatility risk score of 20/100. This shows lower volatility with relatively stable prices in the measured period. Beta of 0.41 indicates defensive characteristics — it moves less than the market. Lower volatility may be more compatible with conservative risk budgets, depending on portfolio context.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
80/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.1B
Neutral
Size Category
Nano Cap
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

IGR has a market cap of £0.1B (Nano Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 80/100. As a smaller company, it faces elevated business and funding risk. Small and micro-caps have higher failure rates, less diversified revenue, and greater vulnerability to competitive threats or economic shocks. They often lack scale advantages and may struggle to access capital markets during stress. Smaller companies can experience higher dispersion of outcomes, including business failure or sustained capital impairment. Diversification is important when investing at this size.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking analyst estimates for IGR. Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.

Revenue+2.7% growth
Based on 3 analysts
EPS-21.6% growth
EPS revisions trending up over the past 30 days
Forecast ToneBalanced·Low agreement
Balanced consensus profile with +2.7% revenue growth and -21.6% EPS growth.
Confidence is low agreement, coverage sits at 3 analysts, forecast ranges show moderate dispersion, 30-day EPS revisions are improving.
Consensus
+2.7% revenue growth
Consensus target of 99.00p
Confidence
Low agreement
Based on 3 analysts with moderate dispersion
Watch Item
Low analyst coverage
A small analyst base can move the consensus quickly after any new update.

Share Price Forecast

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Model Commentary
That view is based on 3 analysts. Low agreement means the Street is still split on the likely outcome. Analyst targets and forecasts can change quickly after new company or market information.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +2.7% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Model Commentary
Revenue is projected to move from 729.3M last year to 206.4M in 2026E and 212.0M in 2027E. That implies -71.7% into 2026E and +2.7% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 211.5M to 212.5M suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. Revenue misses can lead to EPS estimate revisions and changes in valuation assumptions. Forecast ranges reflect uncertainty and should be read alongside risk metrics.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies -21.6% YoY growth moderate dispersion on EPS estimates

Model Commentary
Analysts are currently looking for 5.38p in 2026E and 4.22p in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from 3.80p to 4.75p, which counts as moderate dispersion. Consensus currently models -21.6% EPS growth over the next period. EPS estimates are subject to revision and do not guarantee future results.