Kerry Group(KYGA)
EUR --+0.00%
47Reward
24Risk
📊75%Data
KYGA
+0.0 · +0.00%
EUR · LSE
Kerry Group | Consumer Defensive
Defensive Anchor
Market Cap:11.47Bn
ℹ️
Reward Rating
47
Moderate
Bottom 25% stock
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
24
Low
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: €96.40.

What is Kerry Group?

Kerry Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides taste and nutrition solutions. The company offers taste solutions, such as dairy and dairy-free flavours, savoury flavours and extracts, smoke and grill, sweet flavours and extracts, and taste modulations. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Consumer Defensive sector, with a market capitalisation of 11.47B, and a P/E ratio of 0.2x.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Moderate growth momentum — positive trajectory without breakout acceleration.
💰 Profitability
Adequate profitability with some margin variability in recent periods.
⚠️ Risk
Below-average volatility supports a steadier risk profile.
💸 Valuation
Valuation appears fair relative to current fundamentals.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (47)

The scoring profile indicates limited reward potential at this time, with valuation and profitability offering the most support. Risk indicators are low, suggesting a relatively contained downside profile.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorConsumer Defensive
Market Cap11.47B
P/E Ratio0.1769
Dividend Yield1.86%
52 Week High99.9504
52 Week Low69
Last AnnualDecember
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding160M
No. of Employees21,461
IndustryPackaged Foods
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.525
CurrencyEUR

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendAccelerating
  • Profitability TrendImproving
  • Balance Sheet StrengthStrong
  • Cash GenerationStrong

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years.
  • Revenue remains 23.0% below the prior peak from 2022.
  • Recent revenue trajectory appears heavily influenced by a single outlier year (72.5% YoY spike).
Balance Sheet
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.
  • Net debt growth is outpacing EBITDA growth by 10.4pp (CAGR spread).

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Free Cash Flow↓ 27.7%
  • Net Income↓ 21.8%
  • Net Debt↑ 11.9%
  • Operating Income↑ 8.0%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
9.74%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
13.31%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
11.06%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
0.36x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
4.31%
FCF / Market Cap

Community Discussion

4 today

Share your insights and read what others think about Kerry Group

4 posts
0/500 characters
John Investor · 2 hours agoBullish
Really impressive Q3 results. Revenue growth of 15% YoY is strong given the current market conditions. The management team seems to be executing well on their strategic plan.
Sarah Chen · 5 hours agoBearish
Concerned about the increasing debt levels. While the P/E ratio looks attractive, the debt-to-equity ratio has been climbing. Would like to see more focus on deleveraging in the next few quarters.
Mike Trading · 1 day agoBullish
Been holding this for 3 years now. Solid dividend yield and consistent performance. Great for long-term investors looking for stability.
Emma Watson · 1 day agoNeutral
What are people's thoughts on the upcoming merger announcement? Could be a game changer for the industry.
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AI-powered community insights

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AI Community Insights

Analysis of the past 4 weeks

Community Summary

Community sentiment analysis...

Sentiment Analysis

Community engagement metrics

This Week

Total Posts12
Active Users8
Avg. Posts/Day2

Community Sentiment

Bullish50%
Neutral25%
Bearish25%
Ownership Analysis
Key Takeaway

Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.

0.1% Insider 38.3% Institutional 61.6% Float
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
38%
Total Owned
0.1%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Bearish

Insiders own 0.1%, which points to limited direct management ownership.

38.3%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Low

Institutions own 38.3%, which suggests relatively limited professional investor coverage.

61.6%
Public

Public Float

High

Public float is 61.6%, which supports good trading liquidity.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our reward rating analyses KYGA's potential upside using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100, then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
47
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
36/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
-8.3%
Bad
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
2.8%
Neutral
FCF CAGR (3yr)
-0.5%
Bad
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
5.7%
Good
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
11.3%
Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA scored 36/100 for growth — blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue has been declining (-8.3% CAGR), a headwind. FCF declining at -0.5% is worth monitoring. Forward: analysts forecast 5.7% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 11.3%. Weak growth signals across both historical and forward metrics — a clear area of concern.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. Relative outperformance is a stronger signal than absolute return alone.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
55/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
Sector avg 45%
No Data
Net Margin 20%
9.7%
Sector avg 10%
In Line
FCF Conversion 20%
75%
FCF / Net Income
Good
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
6.2%
Good
ROE (TTM) 10%
10.6%
Neutral
ROA (TTM) 10%
4.9%
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA scores 55/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Net margin of 9.7% sits 3% below the sector norm of 10%. FCF conversion of 75% is adequate. Overall solid profitability with healthy margins relative to the sector.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
58/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
1.45
Good Value
EV/EBITDA 25%
11.9x
Sector avg 12x
In Line
Fwd P/E 20%
14.5x
Sector avg 18x
Good Value
Price/FCF 20%
23.2x
In Line
EV/Sales 10%
2.0x
Sector avg 2x
In Line
Net Debt/EBITDA Adj
1.8x
Moderate
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA received a valuation score of 58/100 using sector-relative scoring. A PEG of 1.45 shows growth reasonably supports the current price. Its Forward P/E of 14.5x is 19% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 11.9x sits 1% below the sector norm of 12x. Price/FCF of 23.2x is reasonable. Leverage is moderate at 1.8x Net Debt/EBITDA. Overall the stock trades broadly in line with sector norms.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our risk rating assesses KYGA's downside potential using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
24
Low RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
27/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
10.5x
Exceptional
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
1.8x
Conservative
Current Ratio (20%)
1.68x
Healthy
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
-1%
Stable
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
23%
Good
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA has a financial solvency risk score of 27/100. This shows low leverage risk and a healthy balance sheet. Interest coverage of 10.5x means earnings comfortably exceed debt service. Current ratio of 1.68x confirms strong short-term liquidity. FCF covers 23% of total debt annually, indicating strong repayment capacity. The company has flexibility to invest, return capital, or absorb unexpected shocks.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
24/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
9.7%
Adequate
FCF Margin (25%)
7.3%
Strong
Cash ROA (25%)
7.1%
Strong
Margin Stability (25%)
±1.3pp
Rock Solid
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA scores 24/100 for operational quality, indicating low operational risk. The company shows a positive net margin of 9.7%, healthy free cash flow at 7.3% FCF margin, adequate capital efficiency with 7.1% Cash ROA, highly stable margins (±1.3pp variance over 3 years). This combination of strong margins, cash generation, and capital efficiency suggests a resilient business model with low operational risk.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
20/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.53
Defensive
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA has a volatility risk score of 20/100. This shows low volatility with relatively stable prices. Beta of 0.53 indicates defensive characteristics — it moves less than the market. Lower volatility is well-suited to conservative investors and income-focused portfolios.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
20/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£11.5B
Neutral
Size Category
Large Cap
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

KYGA has a market cap of £11.5B (Large Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 20/100. As a large-cap company, it has minimal size-related risk. Large companies benefit from scale, diversified operations, established brands, and easier access to capital. While not immune to failure, they have resources to navigate challenges and lower statistical failure rates. Size provides stability and reduces existential risk, though it may limit explosive growth potential.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking estimates from the analyst community for KYGA.

Street ViewBalanced·High agreement
Balanced setup with +4.4% revenue growth and +11.3% EPS growth.
Confidence is high agreement, coverage sits at 15 analysts, forecast ranges show tight ranges, 30-day EPS revisions are softening.
Consensus
+4.4% revenue growth
Consensus target of €96.40
Confidence
High agreement
Based on 15 analysts with tight ranges
Watch Item
Revisions are slipping
EPS expectations have been cut over the last 30 days, which weakens the forward setup.
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Openbook AI
That view is based on 15 analysts. High agreement means the Street is telling a fairly coherent story.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +4.4% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Openbook AI
Revenue is projected to move from 6.8B last year to 6.8B in 2026E and 7.1B in 2027E. That implies +0.8% into 2026E and +4.4% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 6.9B to 7.9B suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. For you, this matters because top-line misses usually flow straight through to EPS cuts and weaker price-path outcomes.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +11.3% YoY growth tight ranges on EPS estimates

Openbook AI
Analysts are currently looking for €5.02 in 2026E and €5.58 in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from €5.43 to €5.95, which counts as tight ranges. For you, that means the market is still underwriting +11.3% EPS growth over the next leg of the story.