Melrose Industries PLC(MRO)
GBX --+0.00%
57Reward
55Risk
📊75%Data
MRO
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
Melrose Industries PLC | Industrials
Profitless Growth
Market Cap:6.79Bn
ℹ️
Reward Rating
57
Moderate
Top 50% stock
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
55
Medium-High
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 707p.

What is Melrose Industries PLC?

Melrose Industries PLC, together with its subsidiaries, designs and delivers aerospace components and systems for civil and defence markets in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through Engines and Structures segments. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Industrials sector, with a market capitalisation of 6.79B, and a P/E ratio of 21.7x.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Moderate growth momentum — positive trajectory without breakout acceleration.
💰 Profitability
Profitability metrics are mixed — margins may be under pressure.
⚠️ Risk
Performance tied to macro conditions — sensitive to interest rate cycles.
💸 Valuation
Valuation appears fair relative to current fundamentals.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (57)

The scoring profile indicates moderate reward potential, with growth and valuation as the leading contributors. Risk indicators are elevated — volatility and macro sensitivity warrant consideration.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap6.79B
P/E Ratio21.672
Dividend Yield1.29%
52 Week High698.9763
52 Week Low374.47
Last AnnualDecember
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding1B
No. of Employees12,291
IndustrySpecialty Industrial Machinery
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.905
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendStable
  • Profitability TrendImproving
  • Balance Sheet StrengthModerate
  • Cash GenerationModerate

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Revenue remains 67.3% below the prior peak from 2019.
Profitability
  • Free cash flow margin was below 0% in 3 of the last 5 years.
  • Operating cash flow to net income ratio has remained below 1.0x for 2 consecutive years (0.58x latest).
  • The EBITDA to operating cash flow gap has widened for 2 consecutive years.
Balance Sheet
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Operating Income↑ 15750.0%
  • Net Income↑ 9350.0%
  • EBITDA↑ 159.2%
  • Free Cash Flow↑ 152.5%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
10.31%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
17.44%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
13.09%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
0.72x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
1.89%
FCF / Market Cap

Community Discussion

4 today

Share your insights and read what others think about Melrose Industries PLC

4 posts
0/500 characters
John Investor · 2 hours agoBullish
Really impressive Q3 results. Revenue growth of 15% YoY is strong given the current market conditions. The management team seems to be executing well on their strategic plan.
Sarah Chen · 5 hours agoBearish
Concerned about the increasing debt levels. While the P/E ratio looks attractive, the debt-to-equity ratio has been climbing. Would like to see more focus on deleveraging in the next few quarters.
Mike Trading · 1 day agoBullish
Been holding this for 3 years now. Solid dividend yield and consistent performance. Great for long-term investors looking for stability.
Emma Watson · 1 day agoNeutral
What are people's thoughts on the upcoming merger announcement? Could be a game changer for the industry.
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AI Community Insights

Analysis of the past 4 weeks

Community Summary

Community sentiment analysis...

Sentiment Analysis

Community engagement metrics

This Week

Total Posts12
Active Users8
Avg. Posts/Day2

Community Sentiment

Bullish50%
Neutral25%
Bearish25%
Ownership Analysis
Key Takeaway

Heavily institutionalized with minimal insider ownership may indicate limited management alignment.

0.2% Insider 88.2% Institutional 11.6% Float
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
88%
Total Owned
0.2%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Bearish

Insiders own 0.2%, which points to limited direct management ownership.

88.2%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

High

Institutions own 88.2%, showing very high professional investor participation.

11.6%
Public

Public Float

Very Low

Public float is 11.6%, which suggests concentrated ownership and tighter liquidity.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our reward rating analyses MRO's potential upside using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100, then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
57
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
70/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
-21.9%
Very Bad
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
FCF CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
38.8%
Very Good
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
24.1%
Very Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

MRO scored 70/100 for growth — blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue has been declining (-21.9% CAGR), a headwind. Forward: analysts forecast 38.8% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 24.1%. Overall this is a compelling growth profile that justifies attention from growth-oriented investors.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. Relative outperformance is a stronger signal than absolute return alone.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
42/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
18.6%
Sector avg 45%
Weak
Net Margin 20%
10.3%
Sector avg 10%
In Line
FCF Conversion 20%
35%
FCF / Net Income
Neutral
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
13.1%
Good
ROA (TTM) 10%
5.0%
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

MRO scores 42/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 18.6% is 59% below the sector average of 45% — suggesting below-average pricing power or higher input costs vs peers. Net margin of 10.3% sits 3% above the sector norm of 10%. FCF conversion of 35% is low — reported earnings may overstate true cash generation. Profitability is modest — margin improvement is the key lever to unlock higher returns.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
55/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.85
Very Good Value
EV/EBITDA 25%
9.8x
Sector avg 12x
Good Value
Fwd P/E 20%
14.7x
Sector avg 18x
Good Value
Price/FCF 20%
53.0x
Very Expensive
EV/Sales 10%
2.5x
Sector avg 1.5x
Very Expensive
Net Debt/EBITDA Adj
2.0x
Moderate
🤖AI Analysis

MRO received a valuation score of 55/100 using sector-relative scoring. A PEG of 0.85 is the standout — the stock is undervalued relative to its own growth rate. Its Forward P/E of 14.7x is 18% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 9.8x sits 18% below the sector norm of 12x. Price/FCF of 53.0x is elevated, meaning the cash yield is modest. Leverage is moderate at 2.0x Net Debt/EBITDA. Overall the stock trades broadly in line with sector norms.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our risk rating assesses MRO's downside potential using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
55
Medium-High RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
68/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
4.7x
Adequate
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
2.0x
Moderate
Current Ratio (20%)
0.98x
Concerning
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
+35%
Rapidly Deteriorating
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
6%
Weak
🤖AI Analysis

MRO has a financial solvency risk score of 68/100. This represents moderate leverage that warrants monitoring. Interest coverage of 4.7x is adequate but not comfortable. Net debt/EBITDA of 2.0x is within the manageable range. Debt has changed +35% over the last 3 years. The balance sheet is stable in normal conditions but could face stress in a downturn. Watch coverage ratios and free cash flow trends.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
51/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
10.3%
Strong
FCF Margin (25%)
3.6%
Weak
Cash ROA (25%)
2.8%
Weak
Margin Stability (25%)
±13.3pp
Moderate Variance
🤖AI Analysis

MRO scores 51/100 for operational quality, indicating elevated operational risk. The company shows a strong net margin of 10.3%, positive FCF margin of 3.6%. Key concerns: weak capital efficiency with 2.8% Cash ROA; moderate margin variance of ±13.3pp over 3 years. Overall the business is viable but not without risk. Investors should monitor whether margins are improving or deteriorating quarter on quarter.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
50/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.91
Market-Like
🤖AI Analysis

MRO has a volatility risk score of 50/100. This represents moderate-to-elevated volatility — above average but manageable. Investors should expect periodic double-digit declines but can ride them out with patience.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
35/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£6.8B
Neutral
Size Category
Mid Cap
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

MRO has a market cap of £6.8B (Mid Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 35/100. As a large-cap company, it has minimal size-related risk. Large companies benefit from scale, diversified operations, established brands, and easier access to capital. While not immune to failure, they have resources to navigate challenges and lower statistical failure rates. Size provides stability and reduces existential risk, though it may limit explosive growth potential.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking estimates from the analyst community for MRO.

Street ViewBalanced·High agreement
Balanced setup with +9.0% revenue growth and +24.1% EPS growth.
Confidence is high agreement, coverage sits at 16 analysts, forecast ranges show moderate dispersion, 30-day EPS revisions are softening.
Consensus
+9.0% revenue growth
Consensus target of 706.75p
Confidence
High agreement
Based on 16 analysts with moderate dispersion
Watch Item
Revisions are slipping
EPS expectations have been cut over the last 30 days, which weakens the forward setup.
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Openbook AI
That view is based on 16 analysts. High agreement means the Street is telling a fairly coherent story.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +9.0% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Openbook AI
Revenue is projected to move from 3.6B last year to 3.9B in 2026E and 4.2B in 2027E. That implies +7.5% into 2026E and +9.0% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 4.1B to 4.5B suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. For you, this matters because top-line misses usually flow straight through to EPS cuts and weaker price-path outcomes.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +24.1% YoY growth moderate dispersion on EPS estimates

Openbook AI
Analysts are currently looking for 37.82p in 2026E and 46.93p in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from 42.98p to 50.47p, which counts as moderate dispersion. For you, that means the market is still underwriting +24.1% EPS growth over the next leg of the story.