Business Snapshot
- Revenue TrendAccelerating
- Profitability TrendDeteriorating
- Balance Sheet StrengthStrong
- Cash GenerationWeak
Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.
Persimmon Plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a house builder in the United Kingdom. The company offers family housing under the Persimmon Homes brand name; housing under the Charles Church brand name; and social housing under the Westbury Partnerships brand name. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector, with a market capitalisation of 4.40B, and a P/E ratio of 17.4x.
The scoring profile indicates weak reward characteristics across most factors, including valuation and momentum. Risk indicators are moderate, consistent with typical market exposure.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
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Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.
Insiders own 2.2%, which points to limited direct management ownership.
Institutions own 53.8%, which suggests a balanced ownership mix.
Public float is 44.0%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.
Our reward rating analyses PSN's potential upside using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100, then combined using the weights shown below.
Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.
PSN scored 26/100 for growth — blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue has been declining (-3.9% CAGR), a headwind. Net income contracted at -30.3%, suggesting cost or margin pressure. FCF declining at -59.0% is worth monitoring. Forward: analysts forecast 2.4% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 7.0%. Weak growth signals across both historical and forward metrics — a clear area of concern.
Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. Relative outperformance is a stronger signal than absolute return alone.
Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).
Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.
PSN scores 20/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 18.1% is 60% below the sector average of 45% — suggesting below-average pricing power or higher input costs vs peers. Net margin of 8.3% sits 17% below the sector norm of 10%. FCF conversion of 20% is low — reported earnings may overstate true cash generation. Operating profit has been declining, which warrants monitoring. Weak profitability across multiple metrics is a clear area of concern for investors.
Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.
PSN received a valuation score of 53/100 using sector-relative scoring. A PEG of 1.00 shows growth reasonably supports the current price. Its Forward P/E of 14.1x is 22% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 11.2x sits 6% below the sector norm of 12x. Price/FCF of 83.7x is elevated, meaning the cash yield is modest. Leverage is low at 0.5x Net Debt/EBITDA — a comfortable position. Overall the stock trades broadly in line with sector norms.
Educational Tool Only
The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.
Our risk rating assesses PSN's downside potential using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.
Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.
PSN has a financial solvency risk score of 23/100. This shows low leverage risk and a healthy balance sheet. Interest coverage of 27.0x means earnings comfortably exceed debt service. Current ratio of 4.71x confirms strong short-term liquidity. FCF covers 27% of total debt annually, indicating strong repayment capacity. The company has flexibility to invest, return capital, or absorb unexpected shocks.
Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.
PSN scores 51/100 for operational quality, indicating elevated operational risk. The company shows a positive net margin of 8.3%, positive FCF margin of 1.6%. Key concerns: weak capital efficiency with 1.8% Cash ROA; moderate margin variance of ±5.3pp over 3 years. Overall the business is viable but not without risk. Investors should monitor whether margins are improving or deteriorating quarter on quarter.
Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.
PSN has a volatility risk score of 65/100. This represents moderate-to-elevated volatility — above average but manageable. Beta of 1.32 means it amplifies broad market moves. Investors should expect periodic double-digit declines but can ride them out with patience.
Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.
PSN has a market cap of £4.4B (Mid Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 35/100. As a large-cap company, it has minimal size-related risk. Large companies benefit from scale, diversified operations, established brands, and easier access to capital. While not immune to failure, they have resources to navigate challenges and lower statistical failure rates. Size provides stability and reduces existential risk, though it may limit explosive growth potential.
Educational Tool Only
The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.
Forward-looking estimates from the analyst community for PSN.
Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +4.3% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates
Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +7.0% YoY growth tight ranges on EPS estimates