Severfield PLC(SFR)
GBX --+0.00%
Reward48Moderate
Risk73High
📊75%Data
Thin -4% profit margin · Revenue down 18% YoY
SFR
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
Severfield PLC | Industrials
Earnings Deterioration
Market Cap:83.86M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
48
Moderate
Bottom 25% (model universe)
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
73
High
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 49p.

What is Severfield PLC?

Severfield plc, a structural steelwork company, engages in the designing, manufacturing, fabrication, construction, and erection of steelwork activities in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, Europe, and internationally.

SFR · Verdict

Moderate reward · high risk

SFR's standout is valuation; balance sheet and profitability weigh on the picture.

Based on 88% data coverage

SFR · Verdict

What’s working & what to watch

Strengths 1

  • Valuation84/100

    P/E 6.3× · PEG 0.00

Watchouts 3

  • Balance sheet13/100

    Current ratio 1.19

  • Profitability24/100

    -3% net margin · -8% ROE

  • Cash flow26/100

    -2% free-cash-flow margin

Model-based scoring. For information only — not financial advice.

What is Severfield PLC?

Severfield plc, a structural steelwork company, engages in the designing, manufacturing, fabrication, construction, and erection of steelwork activities in the United Kingdom, Republic of Ireland, Europe, and internationally. The company provides steel-framed modular equipment rooms; modular housing turnkey solutions; modular frames; material handling products; composite and non-composite cellular beams; and offload and edge protection systems. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Industrials sector, with a market capitalisation of 83.86M.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Growth trend is developing — watch for revenue consistency over upcoming quarters.
💰 Profitability
Thin or inconsistent margins weigh on earnings quality.
⚠️ Risk
Performance tied to macro conditions — sensitive to interest rate cycles.
💸 Valuation
Valuation is less clear with a negative earnings base.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (48)

The scoring profile indicates limited reward potential at this time, with valuation and momentum offering the most support. Risk indicators are high — this profile reflects meaningful downside exposure.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorIndustrials
Market Cap83.86M
P/E RatioN/A
Dividend YieldN/A
52 Week High41.131
52 Week Low18.3
Last AnnualMarch
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding295M
No. of Employees1,800
IndustryEngineering & Construction
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.817
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendAccelerating
  • Profitability TrendDeteriorating
  • Balance Sheet StrengthModerate
  • Cash GenerationWeak

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Profitability
  • Operating margin is 8.9pp below its recent average.
  • Dividends exceeded free cash flow in the latest year.
  • Return on equity has declined for 2 consecutive years (-9.6% latest).
Balance Sheet
  • Interest coverage is -3.39x (below 3.0x).
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Net Income↓ 210.1%
  • Operating Income↓ 151.9%
  • Free Cash Flow↓ 124.7%
  • Net Debt↑ 122.3%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
-3.12%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
-3.04%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
-7.70%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
0.35x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
-9.96%
FCF / Market Cap
Key Takeaway

Mixed ownership structure with varying levels of insider, institutional, and public participation.

4.4% Insider 62.2% Institutional 33.4% Float
67%
Total Owned
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
4.4%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Bearish

Insiders own 4.4%, which points to limited direct management ownership.

62.2%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Strong

Institutions own 62.2%, indicating strong support from professional investors.

33.4%
Public

Public Float

Low

Public float is 33.4%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our Reward Rating provides a model-based reward profile for SFR using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 and combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
48
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
46/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
3.8%
Neutral
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
FCF CAGR (3yr)
Neutral
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
2.6%
Neutral
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
89.3%
Very Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

SFR scored 46/100 for growth, blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue CAGR of 3.8% is modest. Forward: analysts forecast 2.6% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 89.3%. Overall, growth appears mixed and should be monitored with risk factors. Forecasts and analyst targets are estimates and may be inaccurate.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. This provides context for recent price movement across different market conditions.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
24/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
48.7%
Sector avg 45%
Above Average
Net Margin 20%
-3.1%
Sector avg 10%
Loss Making
FCF Conversion 20%
0%
FCF / Net Income
Very Bad
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
Neutral
ROE (TTM) 10%
-8.0%
Very Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
-6.0%
Very Bad
🤖Model Commentary

SFR scores 24/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 48.7% is 8% above the sector average of 45% — broadly in line with peers. The company is currently loss-making with a net margin of -3.1%. FCF conversion of 0% is low — reported earnings may overstate true cash generation. Overall, profitability metrics are weaker across multiple model inputs. Profitability trends can change and should be reviewed alongside balance-sheet risk.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
84/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
5.6x
Sector avg 12x
Higher Relative Value
Fwd P/E 20%
6.3x
Sector avg 18x
Higher Relative Value
Price/FCF 20%
No Sector Data
EV/Sales 10%
0.3x
Sector avg 1.5x
Higher Relative Value
🤖Model Commentary

SFR received a valuation score of 84/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 6.3x is 65% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 5.6x sits 53% below the sector norm of 12x. Overall, valuation multiples are lower than selected sector peers on this model. Valuation metrics are not forecasts of future returns.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our Risk Rating provides a model-based risk profile for SFR using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
73
High RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
87/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
-3.4x
Highest Risk Band
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
Current Ratio (20%)
1.19x
Tight
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
+141%
Rapidly Deteriorating
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
-13%
Highest Distress Risk
🤖Model Commentary

SFR has a financial solvency risk score of 87/100. This indicates elevated leverage risk in this model. Interest coverage is -3.4x—earnings barely cover debt service. Heavily leveraged companies can face refinancing pressure and increased sensitivity to rate changes or earnings weakness.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
74/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
-3.1%
Loss Making
FCF Margin (25%)
-1.9%
Higher Distress Risk
Cash ROA (25%)
-0.1%
Poor
Margin Stability (25%)
±2.9pp
Stable
🤖Model Commentary

SFR scores 74/100 for operational quality, indicating high operational risk. The company shows highly stable margins (±2.9pp variance over 3 years). Key concerns: a negative net margin of -3.1% — the company is loss-making; negative FCF (-1.9% FCF margin) — the business is cash burning; weak capital efficiency with -0.1% Cash ROA. These weaknesses make the business vulnerable to cost shocks or revenue shortfalls. Monitor profitability trends closely.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
50/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.82
Market-Like
🤖Model Commentary

SFR has a volatility risk score of 50/100. This represents moderate-to-elevated volatility — above average but manageable. Investors may experience periodic double-digit declines in this profile.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
80/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.1B
Neutral
Size Category
Nano Cap
Neutral
🤖Model Commentary

SFR has a market cap of £0.1B (Nano Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 80/100. As a smaller company, it faces elevated business and funding risk. Small and micro-caps have higher failure rates, less diversified revenue, and greater vulnerability to competitive threats or economic shocks. They often lack scale advantages and may struggle to access capital markets during stress. Smaller companies can experience higher dispersion of outcomes, including business failure or sustained capital impairment. Diversification is important when investing at this size.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking analyst estimates for SFR. Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.

Revenue+5.9% growth
Based on 4 analysts
EPS+89.3% growth
EPS revisions stable over the past 30 days
Forecast ToneBalanced·Low agreement
Balanced consensus profile with +5.9% revenue growth and +89.3% EPS growth.
Confidence is low agreement, coverage sits at 4 analysts, forecast ranges show moderate dispersion, 30-day EPS revisions are improving.
Consensus
+5.9% revenue growth
Consensus target of 48.67p
Confidence
Low agreement
Based on 4 analysts with moderate dispersion
Watch Item
Low analyst coverage
A small analyst base can move the consensus quickly after any new update.

Share Price Forecast

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Model Commentary
That view is based on 4 analysts. Low agreement means the Street is still split on the likely outcome. Analyst targets and forecasts can change quickly after new company or market information.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +5.9% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Model Commentary
Revenue is projected to move from 450.9M last year to 445.5M in 2026E and 471.6M in 2027E. That implies -1.2% into 2026E and +5.9% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 458.6M to 484.7M suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. Revenue misses can lead to EPS estimate revisions and changes in valuation assumptions. Forecast ranges reflect uncertainty and should be read alongside risk metrics.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +89.3% YoY growth moderate dispersion on EPS estimates

Model Commentary
Analysts are currently looking for 2.72p in 2026E and 5.15p in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from 4.62p to 5.70p, which counts as moderate dispersion. Consensus currently models +89.3% EPS growth over the next period. EPS estimates are subject to revision and do not guarantee future results.