Wynnstay Group Plc(WYN)
GBX --+0.00%
40Reward
37Risk
📊75%Data
Thin 0% profit margin · 4.6% dividend yield
WYN
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
Wynnstay Group Plc | Basic Materials
Value Trap
Market Cap:89.97M
ℹ️
Reward Rating
40
Moderate
Bottom 10% stock
75% data coverage
ℹ️
Risk Rating
37
Moderate
Risk Assessment
ℹ️

Educational tool only – Scores are based on historical data and financial metrics for informational purposes. This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser.

ℹ️ Educational tool only · More

Market Performance

Stock returned +10.0% over the past year, broadly in line with market conditions.

Analyst Target

Analyst consensus price target: 500p.

What is Wynnstay Group Plc?

Wynnstay Group Plc manufactures and supplies agricultural products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Feed and Grain, Arable, and Stores. The company is listed on the LSE in UK, operating in the Basic Materials sector, with a market capitalisation of 89.97M, and a P/E ratio of 39.0x.

Financial Highlights

Investment Breakdown

📈 Growth
Revenue growth is subdued, limiting near-term earnings expansion.
💰 Profitability
Thin or inconsistent margins weigh on earnings quality.
⚠️ Risk
Risk profile appears balanced versus broad market conditions.
💸 Valuation
Premium valuation reflects strong growth expectations already priced in.

OpenBook Logo Analysis

Reward: Moderate (40)

The scoring profile indicates limited reward potential at this time, with valuation and momentum offering the most support. Risk indicators are moderate, consistent with typical market exposure.

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Company Information
SectorBasic Materials
Market Cap89.97M
P/E Ratio39
Dividend Yield4.56%
52 Week High430
52 Week Low267.9134
Last AnnualOctober
IPO DateN/A
IncorporatedUK
Shares Outstanding23M
No. of Employees855
IndustryAgricultural Inputs
ExchangeLSE
Beta0.058
CurrencyGBX

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Uses ISF.L (iShares FTSE 100 ETF)
Indicators

Performance Metrics

Historical returns

Annual Returns

Calendar year performance

Insufficient price history.
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Insights
Educational tool only. Not financial advice.

Business Snapshot

  • Revenue TrendAccelerating
  • Profitability TrendStable
  • Balance Sheet StrengthStrong
  • Cash GenerationModerate

Risk Flags

Structural indicators detected (5):
Growth
  • Revenue remains 20.7% below the prior peak from 2023.
  • Recent revenue trajectory appears heavily influenced by a single outlier year (49.4% YoY spike).
Profitability
  • Dividends exceeded free cash flow in the latest year.
Balance Sheet
  • Net debt has shown elevated year-over-year volatility.
  • Net debt / EBITDA is above recent norm (0.31x latest).

What Changed This Year

Compared to 2024:
  • Net Debt↑ 119.3%
  • Operating Income↑ 84.8%
  • Free Cash Flow↓ 84.3%
  • Net Income↓ 18.0%

Income Statement

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Balance Sheet

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Cash Flow

CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A
CAGR: N/A

Key Ratios

Net Margin
0.39%
Net Income / Revenue
Operating Margin
1.46%
Operating Income / Revenue
ROE
1.72%
Net Income / Equity
Debt-to-Equity
0.02x
Net Debt / Equity
FCF Yield
2.97%
FCF / Market Cap

Community Discussion

4 today

Share your insights and read what others think about Wynnstay Group Plc

4 posts
0/500 characters
John Investor · 2 hours agoBullish
Really impressive Q3 results. Revenue growth of 15% YoY is strong given the current market conditions. The management team seems to be executing well on their strategic plan.
Sarah Chen · 5 hours agoBearish
Concerned about the increasing debt levels. While the P/E ratio looks attractive, the debt-to-equity ratio has been climbing. Would like to see more focus on deleveraging in the next few quarters.
Mike Trading · 1 day agoBullish
Been holding this for 3 years now. Solid dividend yield and consistent performance. Great for long-term investors looking for stability.
Emma Watson · 1 day agoNeutral
What are people's thoughts on the upcoming merger announcement? Could be a game changer for the industry.
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AI-powered community insights

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AI Community Insights

Analysis of the past 4 weeks

Community Summary

Community sentiment analysis...

Sentiment Analysis

Community engagement metrics

This Week

Total Posts12
Active Users8
Avg. Posts/Day2

Community Sentiment

Bullish50%
Neutral25%
Bearish25%
Key Takeaway

Balanced ownership with meaningful insider stakes and moderate institutional participation.

21.5% Insider 41.5% Institutional 37.0% Float
63%
Total Owned
Insider
Institutional
Public Float
21.5%
Insider

Insider Ownership

Very Bullish

Insiders own 21.5%, which indicates very strong alignment between management and shareholders.

41.5%
Institutional

Institutional Ownership

Moderate

Institutions own 41.5%, which suggests a balanced ownership mix.

37.0%
Public

Public Float

Low

Public float is 37.0%, which points to a fairly balanced ownership structure.

Reward Rating Breakdown

Our reward rating analyses WYN's potential upside using 5 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100, then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Reward Rating
40
Moderate REWARD
Data Coverage: 75%

📈 Growth

Weight: 40%
29/100

Growth measures the company's ability to expand its business over time through revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Historical (60%)
Revenue CAGR (3yr)
-6.5%
Bad
Net Income CAGR (3yr)
-48.9%
Very Bad
FCF CAGR (3yr)
-26.4%
Very Bad
Forward Estimates (40%)
Rev Est Growth (NTM)
2.9%
Neutral
EPS Est Growth (NTM)
12.9%
Good
Analyst Target Upside
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

WYN scored 29/100 for growth — blending a 3-year historical track record (60%) with analyst forward estimates (40%). Historical revenue has been declining (-6.5% CAGR), a headwind. Net income contracted at -48.9%, suggesting cost or margin pressure. FCF declining at -26.4% is worth monitoring. Forward: analysts forecast 2.9% revenue growth next year, EPS expected to grow 12.9%. Weak growth signals across both historical and forward metrics — a clear area of concern.

🚀 Momentum

Weight: 25%
50/100

Momentum is assessed relative to the FTSE 100 benchmark where available. Relative outperformance is a stronger signal than absolute return alone.

12M vs Benchmark 30%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
6M vs Benchmark 25%
Absolute return
No Benchmark
3M Return 20%
Neutral
Consistency 15%
3m vs 1Y/4 normalised
No Data
Volume Trend 10%
30d vs 90d avg volume
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

Insufficient price history to assess momentum. Score defaulted to neutral (50).

💰 Profitability

Weight: 20%
27/100

Profitability examines both the current margin level and margin expansion trends. High and expanding margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency.

Gross Margin 25%
13.8%
Sector avg 45%
Weak
Net Margin 20%
0.4%
Sector avg 10%
Weak
FCF Conversion 20%
117%
FCF / Net Income
Very Good
EBIT Growth (3yr) 15%
-43.7%
Very Bad
ROE (TTM) 10%
1.7%
Bad
ROA (TTM) 10%
2.5%
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

WYN scores 27/100 for profitability, assessed sector-relative on margins and via absolute thresholds for capital efficiency. Gross margin of 13.8% is 69% below the sector average of 45% — suggesting below-average pricing power or higher input costs vs peers. Net margin of 0.4% sits 96% below the sector norm of 10%. FCF conversion of 117% confirms high earnings quality — reported profits are well-backed by cash. Operating profit has been declining, which warrants monitoring. Weak profitability across multiple metrics is a clear area of concern for investors.

💎 Valuation

Weight: 15%
70/100

Valuation is scored sector-relative — each metric is compared against the typical multiple for this industry, so a high P/E in Healthcare is judged differently to a high P/E in Energy. PEG and Price/FCF use absolute thresholds.

PEG Ratio 25%
0.00
No Data
EV/EBITDA 25%
7.0x
Sector avg 12x
Exceptional Value
Fwd P/E 20%
12.8x
Sector avg 18x
Very Good Value
Price/FCF 20%
33.7x
Moderately Expensive
EV/Sales 10%
0.1x
Sector avg 2x
Exceptional Value
Net Debt/EBITDA Adj
0.3x
Low Leverage
🤖AI Analysis

WYN received a valuation score of 70/100 using sector-relative scoring. Its Forward P/E of 12.8x is 29% below the sector average of 18x. EV/EBITDA of 7.0x sits 42% below the sector norm of 12x. Price/FCF of 33.7x is elevated, meaning the cash yield is modest. Leverage is low at 0.3x Net Debt/EBITDA — a comfortable position. Overall the stock looks attractively valued relative to its sector peers.

⚠️

Educational Tool Only

The reward rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Risk Rating Breakdown

Our risk rating assesses WYN's downside potential using 4 weighted factors. Each factor is scored 0-100 (higher = riskier), then combined using the weights shown below.

Overall Risk Rating
37
Moderate RISK
Data Coverage: 100%

⚖️ Financial Solvency

Weight: 35%
32/100

Financial Solvency measures the company's ability to service and repay its debt obligations. Five sub-metrics are weighted to produce the composite score.

Interest Coverage (25%)
3.5x
Adequate
Net Debt / EBITDA (20%)
0.3x
Minimal
Current Ratio (20%)
2.19x
Strong
Debt Trend 3yr (15%)
+123%
Rapidly Deteriorating
FCF / Debt Coverage (20%)
81%
Exceptional
🤖AI Analysis

WYN has a financial solvency risk score of 32/100. This shows low leverage risk and a healthy balance sheet. Interest coverage of 3.5x means earnings comfortably exceed debt service. Current ratio of 2.19x confirms strong short-term liquidity. FCF covers 81% of total debt annually, indicating strong repayment capacity. The company has flexibility to invest, return capital, or absorb unexpected shocks.

💼 Operational Quality

Weight: 30%
56/100

Operational Quality measures bottom-line efficiency, cash generation, capital productivity, and margin consistency — four equally weighted signals of business model resilience.

Net Margin (25%)
0.4%
Very Thin
FCF Margin (25%)
0.5%
Very Weak
Cash ROA (25%)
3.9%
Weak
Margin Stability (25%)
±0.8pp
Rock Solid
🤖AI Analysis

WYN scores 56/100 for operational quality, indicating elevated operational risk. The company shows highly stable margins (±0.8pp variance over 3 years). Key concerns: a very thin net margin of 0.4%; near-zero FCF margin of 0.5%; weak capital efficiency with 3.9% Cash ROA. Overall the business is viable but not without risk. Investors should monitor whether margins are improving or deteriorating quarter on quarter.

📉 Volatility

Weight: 25%
5/100

Volatility measures price instability, worst-case drawdowns, and sensitivity to broader market moves.

Annualised Volatility (35%)
Max Drawdown (35%)
Beta (30%)
0.06
Very Defensive
🤖AI Analysis

WYN has a volatility risk score of 5/100. This indicates exceptional price stability — almost bond-like for an equity. Such stability is rare and appeals to risk-averse investors seeking equity exposure with minimal turbulence.

📊 Size Factor

Weight: 10%
80/100

Size factor captures existential risk. Smaller companies have higher failure rates, less diversification, and greater vulnerability to shocks.

Market Cap
£0.1B
Neutral
Size Category
Nano Cap
Neutral
🤖AI Analysis

WYN has a market cap of £0.1B (Nano Cap), resulting in a size risk score of 80/100. As a smaller company, it faces elevated existential risk. Small and micro-caps have higher failure rates, less diversified revenue, and greater vulnerability to competitive threats or economic shocks. They often lack scale advantages and may struggle to access capital markets during stress. While these companies offer growth potential, investors must accept that a meaningful percentage could fail or suffer permanent capital loss. Diversification is critical when investing at this size.

ℹ️

Educational Tool Only

The risk rating and analysis shown above are based on historical financial data and quantitative metrics, provided for informational and educational purposes only. This is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

Analyst Forecasts

Forward-looking estimates from the analyst community for WYN.

Street ViewBalanced·Low agreement
Balanced setup with +3.3% revenue growth and +12.9% EPS growth.
Confidence is low agreement, coverage sits at 2 analysts, forecast ranges show tight ranges, 30-day EPS revisions are improving.
Consensus
+3.3% revenue growth
Consensus target of 500.00p
Confidence
Low agreement
Based on 2 analysts with tight ranges
Watch Item
Low analyst coverage
A small analyst base can move the consensus quickly after any new update.
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Openbook AI
That view is based on 2 analysts. Low agreement means the Street is still split on the likely outcome.

Yearly Revenue and 2-Year Forecast

Reported revenue for the last 5 years, followed by low, consensus, and high analyst revenue estimates for the next two years. Consensus revenue implies +3.3% YoY growth tight ranges on revenue estimates

Openbook AI
Revenue is projected to move from 583.4M last year to 602.9M in 2026E and 622.6M in 2027E. That implies +3.3% into 2026E and +3.3% into 2027E on the top line. The 2027E range of 620.0M to 625.3M suggests tight ranges on revenue expectations. For you, this matters because top-line misses usually flow straight through to EPS cuts and weaker price-path outcomes.

2-Year EPS Estimates

Low, consensus, and high analyst EPS estimates for the next two fiscal years. Consensus EPS implies +12.9% YoY growth tight ranges on EPS estimates

Openbook AI
Analysts are currently looking for 31.00p in 2026E and 35.00p in 2027E. The outer-year range runs from 34.60p to 35.40p, which counts as tight ranges. For you, that means the market is still underwriting +12.9% EPS growth over the next leg of the story.