Stock analysis posts tagged "gilts" from Openbook.
Gilts touched 6% and Brent hit $105.60, yet the FTSE 100 still finished the week about 0.9% higher. Friday's miner-led rally did all of the work.
A 30-year gilt yield above 6%, a 1.68% Thursday rout and a badly missed US jobs report: the week London's bond market, not its politicians, set the agenda.
London's week in review: the FTSE 100 gained 64 points, yet the gilt market and a $7 round trip in Brent crude, not company results, decided the path.
The Bank of England has quietly stopped selling long gilts to the market, and the DMO has cut long issuance to 9 percent of its remit. Both sellers of duration are gone. The curve has not repriced.
Oil opened London's week above $108, but it was the Bank of England's decision to stop selling long-dated gilts that moved the FTSE 100 most.
Brent rose 13% to a four-month high of $109.97 and the FTSE 100 fell five sessions running. What our daily London notes flagged, and how the week resolved.
Oil rose 8% and gilt yields touched their highest since 2008, yet the FTSE 100 closed at 10,823.71 — barely moved. The four London sessions, reviewed.
London's two-session week was dominated by a global bond rout: 10-year gilt yields hit their highest since June 2008 and the FTSE 250 fell to a one-month low, even as three UK companies agreed takeovers in a single day.
The UK energy shock is a real-income squeeze, not overheating. Because bill support is now income-tested rather than universal, CPI prints hotter while demand weakens. The Bank should hold, not hike.