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ITV PLC(ITV)
GBX --+0.00%
Reward51Moderate
Risk38Moderate
75%Data
6.4% dividend yield
ITV
+0.0 · +0.00%
GBX · LSE
ITV PLC | Communication Services
Dividend King
Market Cap:2.86Bn
Your assumptions
3.5%
13.5%
8.5%
10.0×
9.0%
2030 exit value (EV)£5.59bn
Terminal value weight73%
5-yr IRR19%
5-yr total return142%
Fair value125.8p
Undervalued+64.5%
price 76.50p
109.8pBear
125.8pBase
143.8pBull
76.50pPrice
low confidenceanalyst target 82.50p
Openbook readReward 51/100Risk 38/100Valuation reads "Undervalued"; Openbook rates risk moderate.
5-year forecast
Click any cell to edit| Year | Revenue | Y/Y | Op. income | Op. margin | Adj. FCF | FCF margin | PV of FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | £3.61bn | 3.5% | £487m | 13.5% | £307m | 8.5% | £282m |
| Y2 | £3.74bn | 3.5% | £504m | 13.5% | £318m | 8.5% | £267m |
| Y3 | £3.87bn | 3.5% | £522m | 13.5% | £329m | 8.5% | £254m |
| Y4 | £4.00bn | 3.5% | £540m | 13.5% | £340m | 8.5% | £241m |
| Y5 | £4.14bn | 3.5% | £559m | 13.5% | £352m | 8.5% | £229m |
Fair value by method
Blended 83.75p · 68.00p–143.8pDCF
125.8p
Dividend model
72.86p
P/E · 17× (sector-typical)
85.00p
Analyst target
82.50p
Why low confidence: 73% of the value is terminal; free cash flow has swung between positive and negative recently.
How this is calculated
We grow revenue at your rate for five years, apply your operating and FCF margins, discount the free cash flow, and cap it with an exit EV/EBIT multiple on year-5 operating income — then subtract net debt. Defaults use the trailing 5-year rates.
New to this? Learn the mechanics with our DCF calculator and what intrinsic value means.
Educational estimate only — not financial advice or a price target. Intrinsic value is a range, highly sensitive to the assumptions above; sector multiples are typical reference levels, not live peer data. Always do your own research.